National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 17

Narbonne vs Montpellier II analysis

Narbonne Montpellier II
23 ELO 33
-3.3% Tilt -17.6%
19634º General ELO ranking 6649º
496º Country ELO ranking 150º
ELO win probability
21.6%
Narbonne
19.9%
Draw
58.5%
Montpellier II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
Narbonne
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.5%
Win probability
Montpellier II
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Narbonne
Montpellier II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Narbonne
Narbonne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
NAR
Narbonne
0 - 1
Nîmes II
NIM
34%
22%
45%
24 29 5 0
11 Oct. 2020
MON
Montpellier II
2 - 0
Narbonne
NAR
72%
16%
12%
25 32 7 -1
26 Sep. 2020
NAR
Narbonne
1 - 2
AS Muretaine
MUR
49%
23%
29%
26 28 2 -1
13 Sep. 2020
ROD
Rodez II
1 - 1
Narbonne
NAR
65%
19%
17%
25 30 5 +1
05 Sep. 2020
NAR
Narbonne
1 - 0
Alberes Argelès
FCA
53%
21%
27%
25 23 2 0

Matches

Montpellier II
Montpellier II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
FCA
Alberes Argelès
1 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
29%
21%
51%
33 25 8 0
11 Oct. 2020
MON
Montpellier II
2 - 0
Narbonne
NAR
72%
16%
12%
32 25 7 +1
26 Sep. 2020
CAS
Castanet
2 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
26%
21%
53%
33 26 7 -1
13 Sep. 2020
MON
Montpellier II
4 - 2
Fabrègues
FAB
51%
23%
27%
31 32 1 +2
05 Sep. 2020
AGD
Agde
1 - 1
Montpellier II
MON
44%
24%
33%
31 32 1 0
X