Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 5-1
Napoli vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
NAP
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NAP
3 - 0
SAM
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
29%
27%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
ZUR
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
NAP
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
3 - 1
GCZ
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FLO
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |