Serie A . Jor. 4

Napoli vs Lazio analysis

Napoli Lazio
89 ELO 86
24.3% Tilt 4.8%
23º General ELO ranking 40º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.4%
Napoli
20.6%
Draw
18%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
Napoli
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
Lazio
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Napoli
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2015
NAP
Napoli
5 - 0
Club Brugge
BRU
65%
19%
17%
88 84 4 0
13 Sep. 2015
EMP
Empoli
2 - 2
Napoli
NAP
21%
24%
55%
88 76 12 0
30 Aug. 2015
NAP
Napoli
2 - 2
Sampdoria
SAM
74%
16%
10%
88 82 6 0
23 Aug. 2015
SAS
Sassuolo
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
24%
25%
52%
88 80 8 0
14 Aug. 2015
LAT
Latina
0 - 5
Napoli
NAP
13%
22%
65%
88 65 23 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2015
DNI
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
40%
26%
34%
87 85 2 0
13 Sep. 2015
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Udinese
UDI
65%
21%
15%
87 82 5 0
30 Aug. 2015
CHI
Chievo
4 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
20%
26%
54%
87 78 9 0
26 Aug. 2015
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
87 90 3 0
22 Aug. 2015
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Bologna
BOL
79%
15%
6%
87 72 15 0
X