Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAP
24%
20%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1933 |
USA
3 - 2
NAP
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
LEO
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 3
INT
19%
21%
61%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
INT
5 - 1
PAL
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 0
INT
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |