Serie A Round 31

Napoli vs Genoa analysis

Napoli Genoa
87 ELO 78
6.9% Tilt -0.6%
General ELO ranking 57º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Napoli
17.2%
Draw
10.3%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Napoli
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
Genoa
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-1%
+3%
Genoa

ELO progression

Napoli
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
TOR
Torino
3 - 5
Napoli
NAP
27%
27%
46%
87 78 9 0
17 Mar. 2013
NAP
Napoli
3 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
70%
19%
12%
87 80 7 0
10 Mar. 2013
CHI
Chievo
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
24%
27%
49%
87 79 8 0
01 Mar. 2013
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
36%
26%
38%
87 91 4 0
25 Feb. 2013
UDI
Udinese
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
41%
26%
33%
87 85 2 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
GEN
Genoa
2 - 2
Siena
SIE
50%
25%
26%
78 80 2 0
17 Mar. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 2
Genoa
GEN
65%
21%
14%
78 85 7 0
08 Mar. 2013
GEN
Genoa
0 - 2
Milan
ACM
23%
24%
54%
78 90 12 0
03 Mar. 2013
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
75%
16%
9%
79 86 7 -1
23 Feb. 2013
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
57%
23%
20%
79 79 0 0