Naples United vs Boca Ratón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naples United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CFL
1 - 1
NAU
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
MDL
0 - 3
NAU
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 0
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
STO
0 - 1
NAU
6%
13%
82%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 3
MDL
60%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Ratón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 3
STO
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 4
MIA
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
MDL
1 - 3
BRA
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MDL
3 - 1
BRA
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CFL
2 - 2
BRA
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |