Nantes vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 3
LYO
24%
26%
49%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 1
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 2
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 2
NIC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SOC
1 - 1
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
TRO
3 - 1
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |