Nancy II vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
8º
8º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 0
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
RAO
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAN
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 3
SAR
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 1
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
JAR
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MEZ
2 - 1
ILL
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |