Namibia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 0
NAM
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
GMB
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GMB
1 - 1
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 2
SEN
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ZMB
2 - 1
NAM
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
COG
3 - 0
ZMB
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZMB
20%
25%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZMB
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZMB
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |