Nagykanizsa FC vs Ferencváros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
11º
3º
52
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 1
NAG
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 1
PAK
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAG
4 - 2
MOL
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
NAG
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 0
GVC
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ferencváros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
4 - 0
FCD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GVC
1 - 2
FER
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
PTE
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SZE
6 - 2
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
ERD
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |