J1 League Round 1

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis

Nagoya Grampus Shimizu S-Pulse
82 ELO 76
9.9% Tilt -0.9%
429º General ELO ranking 475º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Nagoya Grampus
22.3%
Draw
18.9%
Shimizu S-Pulse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Nagoya Grampus
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
Shimizu S-Pulse
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nagoya Grampus
-1%
-6%
Shimizu S-Pulse

ELO progression

Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-Pulse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2012
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Seongnam FC
SEO
59%
22%
19%
82 78 4 0
24 Dec. 2011
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
64%
20%
16%
82 78 4 0
21 Dec. 2011
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 3
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
57%
22%
21%
82 80 2 0
03 Dec. 2011
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
30%
27%
43%
82 73 9 0
26 Nov. 2011
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Montedio Yamagata
MON
79%
15%
7%
82 62 20 0

Matches

Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Dec. 2011
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
55%
22%
24%
78 76 2 0
17 Dec. 2011
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 0
JEF United
JEF
69%
19%
12%
77 65 12 +1
03 Dec. 2011
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 3
Gamba Osaka
GAM
29%
24%
48%
78 83 5 -1
26 Nov. 2011
KAA
Kashima Antlers
3 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
55%
24%
21%
78 83 5 0
20 Nov. 2011
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
43%
26%
31%
78 80 2 0