J1 League Round 32

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu analysis

Nagoya Grampus Sagan Tosu
70 ELO 74
24% Tilt 10.5%
405º General ELO ranking 732º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Nagoya Grampus
25.6%
Draw
27.5%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
Nagoya Grampus
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nagoya Grampus
+1%
+5%
Sagan Tosu

ELO progression

Nagoya Grampus
Sagan Tosu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2019
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
30%
24%
46%
69 77 8 0
02 Nov. 2019
CON
Consadole Sapporo
3 - 0
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
66%
20%
14%
70 81 11 -1
19 Oct. 2019
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 2
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
48%
25%
27%
70 73 3 0
05 Oct. 2019
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1
Oita Trinita
OIT
49%
24%
27%
70 72 2 0
28 Sep. 2019
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
56%
24%
20%
70 80 10 0

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2019
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
58%
24%
18%
74 70 4 0
02 Nov. 2019
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
28%
26%
47%
74 81 7 0
23 Oct. 2019
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
38%
25%
37%
74 76 2 0
19 Oct. 2019
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
2 - 2
Sagan Tosu
SAG
46%
27%
28%
74 70 4 0
05 Oct. 2019
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
37%
28%
35%
73 79 6 +1