Naft Al-Janoob vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Al-Janoob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
KAR
4 - 2
NAF
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 1
NMI
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 1
NAF
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ALS
0 - 0
NAF
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 3
WAS
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALK
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
ALQ
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 1
ARB
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALN
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ALS
2 - 1
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |