Nafpaktiakos Asteras vs Panagriniakos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
25
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 2
LAR
7%
15%
79%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 1
NAF
12%
17%
72%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 1
PAN
7%
14%
79%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AOK
0 - 4
NAF
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAO
1 - 1
NAF
28%
25%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Panagriniakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PAO
1 - 2
TIL
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAO
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PAO
2 - 1
PAN
9%
19%
73%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AML
0 - 3
PAO
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PAO
2 - 1
NAF
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |