Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCP
7 - 0
NAC
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 0
NAC
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |