Nacional SP vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 3
NAC
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
BAN
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
USA
0 - 1
CAP
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 0
VOT
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAP
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 3
MAT
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |