Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
DES
0 - 2
NAC
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
JWI
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
OPE
5 - 0
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 2
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |