Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RPO
1 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
BLO
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
JWI
3 - 2
BOL
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 4
BOL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
RPO
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |