Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
PLA
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
ATM
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIV
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 0
RIV
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |