Nacional vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
LFC
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
BLO
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 0
PLA
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
PLA
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 0
DAN
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |