Nacional vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
ETS
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 1
FEN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 1
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DAN
0 - 2
FEN
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
PEÑ
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |