Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1967 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1967 |
EME
1 - 4
NAC
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1967 |
BSC
1 - 2
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1964 |
COL
0 - 4
BSC
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |