Nacional vs Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
3º
19
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
RES
1 - 3
TAC
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 1
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
LQE
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
RES
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 4
SPT
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |