Nacional vs Martín Ledesma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Martín Ledesma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
2DE
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
RÑU
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |