Nacional AM vs Rio Negro AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TDC
0 - 0
NAC
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
TDC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 3
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 7
FAS
17%
24%
59%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 3
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
OPE
4 - 5
RIO
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
PRI
4 - 0
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |