Nacional AM vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
4 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAC
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 4
ATM
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
PAY
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AMF
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
AMF
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
AMF
2 - 0
FAS
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |