Nacional AM vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 0
AMF
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1972 |
AMF
0 - 0
VAS
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
SCI
0 - 0
AMF
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
ABC
1 - 0
AMF
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 0
AMF
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |