NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
VVV
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
DET
1 - 6
NAC
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
RKC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
4 - 1
SCH
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |