NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
AZA
11%
18%
72%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 5
UTR
33%
24%
44%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
17%
21%
61%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |