NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
HEL
0 - 3
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
NAC
6 - 1
HFC
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 3
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 3
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
0 - 2
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 4
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |