NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
ADO
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
28%
23%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
56%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AZA
5 - 0
FCE
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
58%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
AZA
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |