NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
15º
78
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ARI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
KSK
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
OFI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 3
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
VOJ
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |