NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 3
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |