NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TEL
0 - 1
NAC
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 0
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |