NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
VVV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 5
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
TWE
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |