NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
RJC
3 - 3
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
0 - 0
AJA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |