NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 0
EIN
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
3 - 1
GAE
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 1
MVV
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AMS
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |