NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PSV
0 - 1
NAC
70%
15%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
NAC
1 - 2
ENS
43%
22%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
MVV
2 - 1
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
NAC
0 - 0
ADO
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
NAC
1 - 1
DWS
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 1
BOS
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
VVV
1 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |