NAC vs Mannswörth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
TEA
9 - 1
NAC
85%
10%
4%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FAV
3 - 1
NAC
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
ADM
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
POS
4 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 3
SIM
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mannswörth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 5
DON
15%
21%
65%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
FIR
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUS
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ADM
1 - 1
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
OST
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |