Musongati vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
1 - 1
MFC
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MFC
2 - 2
NYA
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
BUJ
3 - 3
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
NYA
0 - 2
ANM
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUJ
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
1 - 1
ANM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 0
NGO
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
ANM
2 - 2
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |