Muro vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NUC
1 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 1
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
MUR
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
ELD
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LLO
3 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
JOV
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
4 - 0
NOV
35%
27%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 0
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 3
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |