Série D Brazil Temporada Regular. Jor. 14

Murici vs Retro FC analysis

Murici Retro FC
34 ELO 45
-5.8% Tilt -6.4%
5948º General ELO ranking 2236º
235º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
19.8%
Murici
23.6%
Draw
56.6%
Retro FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
Murici
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.6%
Win probability
Retro FC
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Murici
Retro FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Murici
Murici
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2021
BAH
Bahia de Feira
6 - 1
Murici
MUR
70%
19%
12%
34 45 11 0
22 Aug. 2021
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
4 - 2
Murici
MUR
56%
22%
22%
35 37 2 -1
14 Aug. 2021
MUR
Murici
1 - 1
Sergipe
SER
24%
26%
50%
34 46 12 +1
07 Aug. 2021
MUR
Murici
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
34%
27%
39%
34 41 7 0
31 Jul. 2021
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1 - 0
Murici
MUR
61%
23%
16%
35 43 8 -1

Matches

Retro FC
Retro FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2021
RFC
Retro FC
0 - 0
Sergipe
SER
53%
24%
24%
46 45 1 0
21 Aug. 2021
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
41%
26%
33%
46 44 2 0
15 Aug. 2021
RFC
Retro FC
1 - 1
Bahia de Feira
BAH
52%
24%
24%
46 45 1 0
08 Aug. 2021
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
1 - 0
Retro FC
RFC
53%
26%
21%
46 53 7 0
01 Aug. 2021
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
0 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
35%
25%
40%
46 41 5 0
X