Murici vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
ASA
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
BAH
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
ITA
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 0
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |