Muravera vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
MUR
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 6
RIE
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
LAQ
12%
21%
68%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ULD
3 - 0
MUR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OST
1 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
OST
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OST
2 - 0
AVE
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
OST
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OST
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |