Muravera vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 3
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSC
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 1
MUR
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
MON
22%
27%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIS
3 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 0
AFR
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 1
ULD
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
6 - 2
AFR
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 2
FCS
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |