Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
56
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
FAE
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
4 - 0
FAE
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +4 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
MUR
61%
24%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
9%
18%
72%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
3 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
SGI
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 2
CAI
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |