Murata vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 1
MUR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 3
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
71%
17%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
FAE
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 0
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 1
BIR
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 1
FOL
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |