Apertura Guatemala . Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Municipal vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -3 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SIQ
1 - 2
MUN
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 2
SLC
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
COM
3 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
COM
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
DSA
2 - 1
COM
28%
30%
41%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |