Copa Simón Bolívar . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Atlético Palmaflor vs Deportivo FATIC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.1%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
3 - 1
SAC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 1
CMV
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 2
CMV
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CMV
3 - 2
ARA
90%
9%
1%
|
71 | 17 | 54 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 2
CMV
5%
13%
83%
|
71 | 16 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo FATIC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VAC
1 - 1
FAT
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAT
4 - 0
VAC
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CVC
0 - 5
FAT
4%
9%
87%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAT
6 - 1
HUA
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 6
FAT
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |