Clausura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
MUN
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 1
FIR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
JOC
0 - 0
MUN
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
MET
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
PAS
0 - 3
ALI
12%
19%
69%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALI
5 - 2
CHA
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FIR
1 - 4
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
JOC
85%
12%
3%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |